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Ultrametric Cluster Hierarchies: IWant'em All!

Neural Information Processing Systems

Hierarchical clustering is a powerful tool for exploratory data analysis, organizing data into a tree of clusterings from which a partition can be chosen. This paper generalizes these ideas by proving that, for any reasonable hierarchy, one can optimally solve any center-based clustering objective over it (such as k-means). Moreover, these solutions can be found exceedingly quickly and are themselves necessarily hierarchical. Thus, given a cluster tree, we show that one can quickly access a plethora of new, equally meaningful hierarchies. Just as in standard hierarchical clustering, one can then choose any desired partition from these new hierarchies. We conclude by verifying the utility of our proposed techniques across datasets, hierarchies, and partitioning schemes.


Temperature is All You Need for Generalization in Langevin Dynamics and other Markov Processes

Neural Information Processing Systems

We analyze the generalization gap (gap between the training and test errors) when training a potentially over-parametrized model using a Markovian stochastic training algorithm, initialized from some distribution θ0 p0. We focus on Langevin dynamics with a positive temperature β 1, i.e. gradient descent on a training loss Lwith infinitesimal step size, perturbed with β 1-variances Gaussian noise, and lightly regularized or bounded. There, we bound the generalization gap, at any time during training, by p (βEL(θ0)+ln(1/δ))/N with probability 1 δ over the dataset, where N is the sample size, and EL(θ0) = O(1)with standard initialization scaling. In contrast to previous guarantees, we have no dependence on either training time or reliance on mixing, nor a dependence on dimensionality, gradient norms, or any other properties of the loss or model. This guarantee follows from a general analysis of any Markov process-based training that has a Gibbs-style stationary distribution. The proof is surprisingly simple, once we observe that the marginal distribution divergence from initialization remains bounded, as implied by a generalized second law of thermodynamics.


G2M: AGeneralized Gaussian Mirror Method to boost feature selection power

Neural Information Processing Systems

Recent advances in false discovery rate (FDR)-controlled feature selection methods have improved reliability by effectively limiting false positives, making them wellsuited for complex applications. A popular FDR-controlled framework called data splitting uses the "mirror statistics" to select features. However, we find that the unit variance assumption on mirror statistics could potentially limit the feature selection power. To address this, we generalize the mirror statistics in the Gaussian mirror framework and introduce a new approach called "generalized Gaussian mirror" (G2M), which adaptively learns the variance and forms new test statistics. We demonstrate both theoretically and empirically that the proposed test statistics achieve higher power than those of Gaussian mirror and data splitting. Comparisons with other FDR-controlled frameworks on synthetic, semi-synthetic, and real datasets highlight the superior performance of the G2M method in achieving higher power while maintaining FDR control. These findings suggest the potential for the G2M method for practical applications in real-world problems. Code is available at: https://github.com/skyve2012/G2M.


ADifferential and Pointwise Control Approach to Reinforcement Learning

Neural Information Processing Systems

Reinforcement learning (RL) in continuous state-action spaces remains challenging in scientific computing due to poor sample efficiency and lack of pathwise physical consistency. We introduce Differential Reinforcement Learning (Differential RL), a novel framework that reformulates RL from a continuous-time control perspective via a differential dual formulation. This induces a Hamiltonian structure that embeds physics priors and ensures consistent trajectories without requiring explicit constraints. To implement Differential RL, we develop Differential Policy Optimization (dfPO), a pointwise, stage-wise algorithm that refines local movement operators along the trajectory for improved sample efficiency and dynamic alignment. We establish pointwise convergence guarantees, a property not available in standard RL, and derive a competitive theoretical regret bound of O(K5/6). Empirically, dfPO outperforms standard RL baselines on representative scientific computing tasks, including surface modeling, grid control, and molecular dynamics, under low-data and physics-constrained conditions.


On McDiarmid's Inequality under Dependence via Approximate Tensorization of Entropy

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We argue that dependent versions of McDiarmid's inequality are a useful but underutilized tool in mathematical statistics, learning theory and theoretical computer science. To make this point, we first highlight that approximate tensorization of entropy (ATE) implies McDiarmid's via the Entropy Method. Second, we derive McDiarmid's inequality for non-isotropic Gaussian random vectors $X \sim \mathcal N(μ, Σ)$ through ATE with a constant of the order of the condition number of $Σ$. We both independently obtain this ATE through a simple application of stochastic localization and also discuss how a more general ATE for the Gibbs sampler due to Ascolani et al., 2026 generalizes McDiarmid's-like concentration to strongly log-concave and log-smooth probability measures. We then apply the resulting concentration inequalities to resolve a question on the concentration of $\operatorname{sign}(X)$ posed by Simone Bombari, investigate Erdős-Rényi graphs under dependence and prove a Dvoretzky-Kiefer-Wolfowitz-type inequality for observations from a joint measure fulfilling ATE and continuous marginal CDFs. For the class of strongly log-concave and log-smooth measures, this result improves upon a prior Dvoretzky-Kiefer-Wolfowitz-type inequality for non-i.i.d. observations due to Bobkov and Götze, 2010, by establishing the expected $1/\sqrt{n}$-rate of convergence under weak dependence instead of $n^{-1/3}$.


Backward Coherence and Hidden-State Stability in Recurrent Neural Networks: A Quasi-Reverse-Martingale Theory

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Recurrent neural networks maintain a hidden state $h_t$, but its probabilistic meaning is often unclear. We study hidden-state stability through \emph{backward coherence}: the extent to which $h_t$ can be reconstructed from $h_{t+1}$ by a learned backward projector $g_ϕ$. Under contraction and summable backward drift, the hidden-state sequence forms a quasi-reverse-martingale. This yields almost-sure convergence, rates under mixing, an interpretable limiting representation, finite pathwise stopping times, and a theoretical framework for time-uniform confidence sequences. Simulations support the theory. Backward-coherence regularisation reduces the empirical quasi-martingale total $\hat Q$ by $43$--$58%$, reaches stability $28$--$44%$ earlier than an unregularised RNN, and gives tracking-error recovery consistent with geometric bounds. Additional tests confirm echo-state forgetting rates bounded by $ρ$ and verify the increment-sum tube $R_t$ with $100%$ simultaneous coverage, although $R_t$ is conservative; in practice, the defect-tail proxy $\hat Q_t$ is the more useful monitor. The backward-coherence loss is also equivalent to minimising a Kullback--Leibler divergence in a Gaussian backward model, linking the method to variational inference. Extensions cover $ϕ$-mixing inputs, change-point tracking, and finite-sample concentration. Three real-data studies further validate the approach. On PhysioNet 2012 ICU data, the Reverse Martingale RNN (RMRNN) matches RNN mortality-prediction AUC while reaching stable representations 13 hours earlier. On FRED-MD, it reduces one-month-ahead forecast error by about fourfold under concept drift. On UCI Human Activity Recognition, it maintains lower post-transition tracking error with geometric decay. The guarantees apply under the stated assumptions; universality is not claimed.


Wasserstein bounds for denoising diffusion probabilistic models via the Föllmer process

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper studies sampling error bounds for denoising diffusion probabilistic models (DDPMs) in the 2-Wasserstein distance. Our contributions are threefold. (i) Under general Lipschitz-type conditions on the score function and for a broad class of variance schedules, including the cosine schedule, we establish sharp upper bounds that are optimal in both the dimension and the number of steps, and recover several sharp error bounds previously obtained in the literature. (ii) We prove that the same Lipschitz-type conditions, which encompass those commonly imposed on the (learned) score, imply a logarithmic Sobolev inequality and hence a quadratic transportation cost inequality for the DDPM. As a consequence, in settings covered by existing work, an optimal Wasserstein bound, up to a logarithmic factor, follows from the recently obtained sharp error bound in the Kullback-Leibler divergence under geometric-type variance schedules. (iii) We show that for general log-concave target distributions, the optimal Wasserstein error bound remains attainable even without a quadratic transportation cost inequality for the target. Our analysis is based on viewing the DDPM sampler as a discretization of the Föllmer process rather than the conventional reverse Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process.


Variational predictive resampling

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Bayesian inference provides principled uncertainty quantification, but accurate posterior sampling with MCMC can be computationally prohibitive for modern applications. Variational inference (VI) offers a scalable alternative and often yields accurate predictive distributions, but cheap variational families such as mean-field (MF) can produce over-concentrated approximations that miss posterior dependence. We propose variational predictive resampling (VPR), a scalable posterior sampling method that exploits VI's predictive strength within a predictive-resampling framework to better approximate the Bayesian posterior. Given a prior-likelihood pair, VPR repeatedly imputes future observations from the current variational predictive, updates the variational approximation after each imputation, and records the parameter value implied by the completed sample. We establish conditions under which the law of the parameter returned by VPR is well defined and show that its finite-horizon approximation converges to this limit. In a tractable Gaussian location model, we show that VPR with MF variational predictives converges to the exact Bayesian posterior, whereas the optimal MF-VI approximation retains a non-vanishing asymptotic gap. Experiments on linear regression, logistic regression, and hierarchical linear mixed-effects models demonstrate that VPR substantially improves posterior uncertainty quantification and recovers posterior dependence missed by MF-VI, while remaining computationally competitive with, and often more efficient than, MCMC.



8 max

Neural Information Processing Systems

We proceed to show the sparsistency510 of the estimated parameters. First, suppose that Θ t;ij 6= 0 for some time tand index (i,j). Due to 0 < γ < 1, the above inequality implies that bΘt;ij = 0521 for every t and (i,j) 6 St, and bΘt;ij bΘt 1;ij = 0 for every t > 0 and (i,j) 6 Dt. The proof is inspired527 by Corollary 1 in [47]. First, we present the following key lemmas.528